Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
SWA
0 - 1
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHL
2 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 0
SOU
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
BHA
89%
9%
2%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
HUR
92%
7%
2%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WHU
1 - 4
MAC
10%
17%
73%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
5 - 0
SWA
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 3
MAC
28%
24%
48%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |