EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 1
ARS
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MID
3 - 2
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 0
SHW
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
EVE
4 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAC
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRY
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 0
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |