Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIV
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
COV
4 - 0
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 3
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
WBA
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 1
QPR
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1979 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
43%
28%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |