Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1974 |
SOU
3 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
IPS
7 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
SOU
2 - 2
QPR
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
LEE
2 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 0
PLY
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1974 |
PLY
1 - 1
MAC
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |