Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 3
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1972 |
SOU
0 - 1
LIV
39%
31%
30%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1972 |
IPS
1 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1972 |
SOU
1 - 2
WOL
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1972 |
NEW
0 - 0
MAC
42%
28%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1972 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
MAC
2 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |