Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
IPS
0 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
SOU
5 - 1
BUR
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1969 |
SOU
3 - 1
QPR
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
ARS
0 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEI
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1969 |
WOL
3 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1969 |
LEE
1 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1969 |
MAC
2 - 0
LEI
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |