Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1966 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1966 |
LEY
1 - 1
SOU
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
PLY
2 - 3
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
PNE
1 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1966 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1966 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
LEY
2 - 2
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ROT
0 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |