Southampton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
STO
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
SOU
3 - 2
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 1
SOU
62%
22%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
SOU
0 - 0
BHA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
ARS
0 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
3 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
NOT
1 - 1
LUT
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
3 - 1
BIR
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
WAT
5 - 2
LUT
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |