Southampton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
CRY
0 - 0
SOU
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
LIV
3 - 1
WBA
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
LIV
3 - 1
ARS
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1979 |
LEE
0 - 3
LIV
41%
27%
31%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1979 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
26%
30%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |