EFL Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Southampton vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 0
SUN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
4 - 0
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
POS
1 - 4
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
WIM
3 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 1
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
ROC
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SCU
2 - 0
LIN
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LIN
2 - 3
EXE
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
BHA
1 - 3
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |