Southampton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
TOT
0 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 0
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOU
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
NTT
3 - 2
SOU
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
MUD
4 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
DER
0 - 1
LEE
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
LEE
2 - 2
NOR
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 2
LEE
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
WBA
2 - 0
LEE
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |