Southampton vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MAC
2 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
TOT
5 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 2
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
FUL
3 - 1
CRY
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 3
BIR
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
FUL
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 1
FUL
46%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
FUL
1 - 1
MUD
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |