FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Southampton vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
NTT
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHL
28%
25%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
WIM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
LEI
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
NOR
1 - 1
FUL
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
FUL
2 - 0
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
PNE
0 - 1
FUL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
FUL
4 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
FUL
4 - 2
HAR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |