Southampton vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
15º
20º
20º
26
15º
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
SOU
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 100 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 3
LEI
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
5%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
3 - 1
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 1
FUL
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 2
EVE
33%
25%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 0
NEW
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EVE
2 - 1
CRY
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |