Southampton vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
TOT
5 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
0 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
CHL
0 - 2
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 2
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
4 - 3
WBA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 0
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
IPS
0 - 1
EVE
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 2
IPS
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |