Southampton vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
53%
27%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
QPR
4 - 0
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1984 |
SOU
5 - 1
SHW
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
53%
27%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1984 |
EVE
0 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
LUT
0 - 3
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
9%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |