Southampton vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 2
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
SOU
5 - 1
VIT
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 3
SOU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
CRY
2 - 1
WOL
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
IPS
2 - 0
CRY
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
WHU
2 - 1
CRY
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
CRY
1 - 5
ARS
40%
28%
31%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
SHW
0 - 0
CRY
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |