Southampton vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 3
SOU
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SHW
0 - 1
SOU
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
LUT
3 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 0
WOL
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
5 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 2
LEI
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BHA
2 - 2
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 1
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |