Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
BRI
0 - 3
SOU
23%
26%
50%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 0
BBU
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
EVE
0 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CHL
5 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 4
CHL
50%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
CHL
4 - 2
NOT
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |