Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
WIM
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
BOL
0 - 1
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
MUD
19%
23%
59%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
3 - 0
SOU
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
CHL
2 - 3
BBU
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 0
CHL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHL
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |