Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 2
LIV
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
QPR
0 - 2
SOU
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BHA
0 - 2
SOU
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
MIL
0 - 1
SOU
3%
26%
72%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 1
QPR
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 4
OXF
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEI
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |