Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
ASV
2 - 1
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
WBA
1 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1968 |
SHW
0 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
SOU
2 - 2
WHU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHL
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
MAC
4 - 1
CHL
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
IPS
1 - 3
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1968 |
LEI
1 - 4
CHL
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |