Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1967 |
SHE
4 - 1
SOU
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
SOU
3 - 3
SHE
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
WBA
0 - 0
SOU
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SOU
0 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
WOL
2 - 0
SOU
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1967 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
FUL
2 - 2
CHL
48%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
CHL
0 - 3
WBA
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 3
CHL
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |