Southampton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1969 |
SOU
3 - 1
QPR
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
ARS
0 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEI
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
WOL
0 - 0
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1969 |
NTT
1 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1969 |
CHL
2 - 3
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
COV
4 - 1
BUR
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 2
WBA
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 0
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |