Southampton vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 0
SOU
25%
25%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 2
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 2
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
SOU
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 2
EXE
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
BOU
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
BRO
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 2
POS
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRO
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |