EFL Cup 1/32
Global 5-1
Southampton vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
COV
1 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
CHL
4 - 2
SOU
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRY
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
MUD
1 - 0
SOU
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
PLY
0 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
BRE
2 - 0
GIL
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 1
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
STF
3 - 5
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |