Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 1
ASV
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
MUD
4 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 0
QPR
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
WIM
1 - 2
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 1
WHU
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
CHL
3 - 2
BOL
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
BOL
0 - 3
WHU
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
LEI
2 - 3
BOL
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOL
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |