Southampton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
DER
0 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 2
BIR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
EXE
1 - 3
SOU
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
SOU
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SOU
3 - 2
SHE
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BIR
2 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 2
BIR
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
WYC
0 - 4
BIR
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 0
SHE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BIR
4 - 1
BBU
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |