Southampton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
LEI
2 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 1
SOU
37%
30%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
QPR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 1
SOU
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
COV
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |