Southampton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
TOT
0 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
LEI
2 - 1
SOU
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
COV
0 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SOU
0 - 2
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
BIR
0 - 1
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
BIR
0 - 1
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
QPR
2 - 1
BIR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
LUT
1 - 1
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |