Southampton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
LIV
3 - 2
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1973 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
SOU
0 - 0
LEI
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
DER
4 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
SOU
0 - 0
EVE
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BIR
3 - 1
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
0 - 0
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
CHL
0 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1973 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
SHE
0 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |