Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BBU
3 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 3
CHL
17%
25%
57%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MID
1 - 3
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 4
MUD
21%
27%
52%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOT
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 1
WBA
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 3
ASV
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BIR
2 - 0
ASV
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ASV
2 - 0
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |