Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BOL
0 - 1
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
BHA
0 - 3
SOU
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TOT
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LEE
2 - 0
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
ASV
2 - 3
NKV
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ASV
0 - 0
SUN
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 3
ASV
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 1
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
ASV
4 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |