Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1993 |
MID
2 - 1
SOU
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRY
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
LEE
2 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
NTT
2 - 1
SOU
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
SOU
1 - 2
SHW
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHE
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
ASV
1 - 1
WIM
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
BRO
0 - 3
ASV
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
ASV
5 - 1
MID
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
LIV
1 - 2
ASV
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |