Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
SCA
2 - 2
SOU
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
NOR
1 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1988 |
TOT
1 - 2
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 2
SHW
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
ASV
3 - 1
MIL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
ASV
2 - 1
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
25%
29%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
CHA
2 - 2
ASV
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |