Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
4 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
3 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
TOT
2 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
ASV
0 - 0
WIM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
NOR
1 - 1
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
ASV
2 - 2
LIV
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |