Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 1
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
WAT
1 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 0
LUT
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
TOT
5 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1985 |
CHL
3 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1985 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHW
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
2 - 0
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |