Southampton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SOU
2 - 2
WIM
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
0 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 2
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
ARS
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |