Southampton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
CHL
2 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1973 |
WHU
4 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 2
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
SOU
0 - 2
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
EVE
0 - 0
ARS
33%
29%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
53%
26%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1973 |
ARS
1 - 0
CRY
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |