Southampton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
CRY
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
SOU
0 - 1
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
SOU
1 - 1
SUN
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
WHU
0 - 0
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1970 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
7 - 1
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
FCM
0 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |