South Park FC vs Leighton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
COR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
5 - 1
THA
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 2
SOU
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
SCR
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
HTG
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
Leighton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 3
KEM
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KIN
0 - 3
LEI
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 3
LEI
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 4
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |