South Melbourne vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 4
SOU
23%
26%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 3
SOU
12%
22%
65%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
BRI
0 - 1
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 0
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 1
CCO
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 2
SYD
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 1
WAD
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
WAD
2 - 3
SFC
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
ADE
5 - 0
WAD
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |