South Melbourne vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
SYD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
NCB
0 - 2
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
BRI
0 - 3
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
WAD
1 - 0
GIF
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 0
CCO
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
WAD
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 1
SYD
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
NCB
4 - 2
WAD
48%
23%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |