South Melbourne vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
NCB
0 - 4
SOU
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 0
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
BRI
3 - 2
WAD
63%
19%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
WAD
0 - 2
ADE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1997 |
SYD
4 - 0
WAD
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 2
GIF
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |