South Melbourne vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 1
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
SYD
4 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 2
SYD
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 0
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
CCO
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
WAD
2 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
CCO
1 - 1
WAD
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
WAD
1 - 2
ADE
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
GIF
2 - 1
WAD
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
WAD
1 - 1
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |