South Melbourne vs Sydney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
CWA
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 3
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
GIF
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 3
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 1
SYD
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
ADE
1 - 0
SYD
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |