South Melbourne vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 1
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
56%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 0
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BRI
2 - 1
SOU
36%
25%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAP
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SFC
0 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 1
MEL
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
SFC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 3
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |