South Melbourne vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ADE
1 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 4
CSC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
SFC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
ADE
2 - 0
SFC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |