South Melbourne vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
PAP
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
4 - 2
SYD
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SFC
3 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
6 - 0
NZK
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 3
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 1
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 2
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |