South Melbourne vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 4
CSC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MAR
5 - 3
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 2
CCO
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |